Examining Starting Pitchers

Fans new to baseball baseball betting and looking to improve, can start by examining starting pitchers as they are one of the most overlooked variables. Throughout the history of MLB betting online, fans have merely looked at starting pitching as a popularity contest when picking a team.

For instance, a team such as the Yankees who have CC Sabathia as their starting pitcher could face the Baltimore Orioles who have Kevin Millwood as a starter, and fans will choose Sabathia because he plays for the Yankees. However, when examining starting pitchers, one could look further and realize that Sabathia has a poorer record against the Orioles in certain pitching categories.

When examining starting pitchers, aside from the popularity contest, fans also only consider the win/ loss records and ERA. Yet what they should ultimately be looking at is the team records in games started stat. Essentially our goal as bettors is to bet on the team that wins. As a result, the TRGS assures that no matter if the starting pitcher factored into a win or a loss they will still be pinned with the end result. For example, if Phillies pitcher Roy Halladay leaves the game in the eighth with a nine to one lead, and his bull pen loses the game for him, Halladay still gets the loss because he started the game. Here is how the TRGS is used:

In September of 2007 the Toronto Blue Jays and Baltimore Orioles played a game. The two starting pitchers for the game were Josh Banks for the Jays making his MLB debut, which made him an unknown for the TRGS system. However, his counterpart Jeremy Guthrie of the Orioles had a record of six wins and five losses. Nevertheless, Guthrie’s overall record in TRGS put him at an abysmal nine wins and 16 losses. This as a bettor tells you it may be worth taking a chance on the Blue Jays who were an underdog on the money line because of Banks being an unknown.

 
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