| Reverse Line Movements in Baseball |
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In college football betting, or any other football betting, the price per head bookmaking odds are based on point spreads. Reverse lines occur when the favorite starts picking up betting momentum. Let’s take a look at an example of how reverse lines work in football. Let’s say that you are looking at betting this game: New England Patriots +3 Buffalo Bills -3 These are the odds you see when you check on Monday. The Bills are at home and they are favored. If the betting community agrees that the Bills are a good bet in this game, even with the points, then the action will start to favor the Bills. When 75 to 80 percent of the action is placed on the Bills, then the odds will shift and look like this: New England Patriots +4 Buffalo Bills -4 Now the risk on betting on the Bills increases. NFL scores are fairly easy to follow, but baseball betting is done on money lines. Let’s look at a typical baseball bet. New York Yankees +220 Boston Red Sox -170 The Red Sox are at home and favored. If 80 percent of the betting action starts to favor the Red Sox then the Red Sox’ line may shift to -160. Now the chance of making money decreases when betting on the Red Sox. Since you are talking about money and home favorites, you may want to avoid betting on the home team when you see a reverse line movement in baseball. |
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